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Issue 46 · as of Issue No. 46, 12 November 2026 (observation cutoff 9 November 2026; collection closed 9 November, 16:28 UTC) · Snapshot ea7de8184295

HELD: Storm-0940/ARTEX candidate not counted; blind reproduction verdict INDETERMINATE

id
RA-2026-045-01
date
2026-11-02
issue
Issue No. 45
condition
SC-2026-008
action
HELD: Storm-0940/ARTEX candidate not counted; blind reproduction verdict INDETERMINATE
from
CONFIRMED (grandfathered) / Stable; one counted operation
to
CONFIRMED (grandfathered) / Stable; one counted operation; candidate held at Grade A
outlook
Stable
watch
none
criterion version
SC-2026-008 scope v1.2
methodology version
v1.3
evidence rows
  • SN-2026-10-26-01
grades
Telemetry elements A (Microsoft first-hand); agency proposition and attribution per the reproduction report
independence determination
Distinct actor, tooling, victims and causal run from the founding operation (CGS-6.2)
rule applied
Scope v1.2 verbatim; agency proposition CGS-3.1/3.2; grade CGS-2.2; counting on blind reproduction, the Issue 43 exception not repeated
alternative not taken
Count on the strength of the telemetry elements alone (not taken: the agency element is the criterion)
blind reproduction
RUN 2026-11-03 as MACHINE BLIND REPRODUCTION: context-free agent instance, sealed packet (scope v1.2 verbatim, source pointer, dated addendum), no CHQ routing disclosed
reproduction result
INDETERMINATE. Deciding element E3: the source attributes the follow-on cloud actions to the AI agents but gives no evidence for the attribution, never states the degree of human direction in this operation, and does not describe the initial compromise; the only autonomy language describes the framework. E1 (actor operated AI agents) PRESENT at Grade B on the reproduction's reading, because no artifact ties the telemetry to the framework, which is stricter than the record's Grade A on that element and is adopted: the candidate is Grade A on the telemetry elements and Grade B on the agency element. E2 PRESENT A; E4 absent (no separation made); E5 split, downstream activity stated as fact at A, the ConnectWise attribution an assessment at B. Independence satisfied on the source's own text. Re-adjudication on a source statement separating unattended agent action from operator direction, or an artifact tying the telemetry to the framework.
cgs provisions
CGS-2.2, CGS-3.1, CGS-3.2, CGS-6.2
record links
CHQ-RAT-2026-045; the signal ledger SN-2026-10-26-01
status
VALID
admission status
Not counted. Held after a machine blind reproduction on 3 November 2026 returned indeterminate on the agency element. Re-adjudicated if a source separates unattended agent action from operator direction.