Gate change: the forecast lock covers the whole issuance specification

id

CHQ-GATE-FIX-2026-013

title

Gate change: the forecast lock covers the whole issuance specification

class

RULE

version

1.0

effective

2026-11-06

published

2026-11-12

status

IN FORCE

status detail

Recorded 6 November 2026 on an external audit, which showed that the earlier hash left admissibility, class and benchmark unprotected. An anchor held outside CHQ is still owed.

rule

Each issued forecast carries a second, full-length hash over its complete issuance specification: identifier, claim, class, probability, benchmark, confidence band, window, falsification condition, admissibility, resolution rule and issued timestamp. A change to any of them trips the gate. Outcome and review fields are outside the hash by design.

scope

The forecast ledger and the integrity gate.

authority

DM ratified 2026-11-12